We often get asked what our forward-looking perspective is on the markets. People often already have an opinion colored by politics, location and personal experience. This article from Guggenheim might shed some objective perspective on “Forecasting the Next Recession”. While a little technical, the article tracks six leading indicators with hopes of spotting where we might be in the economic cycle. Economic down turns are an inevitable part of investing and the economic cycle. If deciphering charts and graphs aren’t your cup of tea: They believe the next recession will begin in late 2019 to mid-2020. Although risk assets performing well for the time being, investors should become increasingly defensive in 2019.
The article further clarifies the importance of investors having a well-informed view on the timing of cycles, and its role, as the driver, of investment performance. At Eagle West Group our investment models automatically rotate toward and away from investment risk throughout these cycles.
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Past performance is no guarantee of future results. These are the opinions of Guggenheim and not necessarily those of Cambridge, are for informational purposes only, and should not be construed or acted upon as individualized investment advice.
Registered Representative, Securities offered through Cambridge Investment Research, Inc., a Broker / Dealer, Member FINRA / SIPC. Investment Advisor
Representative, Cambridge Investment Research Advisors, Inc., a Registered Investment Advisor. Elevate and Eagle West are not affiliated with Cambridge.
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